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  • 31 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 17th, 2023

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  • What is everyone’s temperature about the situation here? I have never lived in a hurricane prone area like Florida.

    If I was basing it completely on national coverage, I am getting the impression that any region in the path of the Milton will get flattened by sudden sea rise. Even the AP article paints a grim picture:

    TAMPA, Fla. (AP) — A steady rain fell in the Tampa Bay area Wednesday morning as a mighty Hurricane Milton churned toward a potentially catastrophic collision with the west coast of Florida, where some residents insisted they would stay even after millions were ordered to evacuate. Stragglers face grim odds of surviving, officials said

    However, looking into it more and trying to be less emotional. Florida’s emergency management system is issuing evacuation orders for many counties in Milton’s path. But some “inland” counties like Polk have no evacuation orders despite adjacent county, Hillsborough, having mandatory evacuation orders [1].

    Then if you navigate to the county level (ie, Hillsborough). Only specific zones were issued mandatory evacuation. At this time, residents of Hillsborough county in zones “A” and “B” (and all mobile homes) given mandatory evacuation. People in other zones advised it was optional [2].

    What did we observe with Helene? Were these local government evacuation orders completely wrong and devastated areas that previously had optional evacuation?

    [1] https://www.floridadisaster.org/evacuation-orders/

    [2] https://hcfl.gov/residents/public-safety/emergency-management/find-evacuation-information










  • The Daily Caller is a right-wing news and opinion website based in Washington, D.C.[7] It was founded by former Fox News host Tucker Carlson and political pundit Neil Patel in 2010.

    OP blundered. Article shitty, definitely cherry picking here.

    The source is at least cited as this piece of research by some assistant professor at “Southern University of Oregon” — https://sou.edu/academics/economics/faculty/

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0094119023000578?via%3Dihub#preview-section-abstract

    Above is only an abstract. Looking to see if I can get the full paper with data. Something is definitely off.

    This research design has some crucial limitations. First, almost every major city in the United States had a protest during the Mike Brown era, implying that I am comparing large cities to relatively less populous cities. Second, the reasons for participating in BLM protests may be related to future police behavior. For example, protests are more likely to occur in cities where more Black people have previously been killed by the police (Williamson et al., 2018). Therefore, if BLM protests are precipitated by a police shooting, police misconduct, or strained community-police relations, then the course for future police behavior may have changed regardless of the protests.

    Author of paper even acknowledges the weaknesses in his methodology and seems to think those weaknesses are addressed by his “battery of robustness tests” performed on the data.

    My initial thoughts: if police are not doing their job because of “BLM protests”. Then isn’t that on the police? Because police can’t kill people without impunity, that means they can’t do their job?









  • Terrible. These events are increasing in frequency and lasting longer due to man made climate change. Immigration is likely to skyrocket over the next decade.

    Yet leaders of the world are slow rolling doing anything about it. O&G has collectively earned trillions of dollars in profits while fucking up the environment.

    We need radical environmental change now. But unfortunately it appears people won’t change their collective habits (ie, heavy reliance on cars in the 🇺🇸, continued development of suburban sprawl, …)